Stats Value: Entertainment unlikely in Thursday’s Brazilian battle

Gremio

OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here’s Thursday’s value selections.

Sao Paolo v Gremio | Thursday 15th November 2018, 21:00

Sao Paolo have seen 10/16 (62%) of their home league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 2.19 goals per-game.

Gremio have seen 14/16 (88%) of their away league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 1.31 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have seen an average of just 1.75 goals per-game in their respective home/away matches and paid out in the Under 2.5 Goals column in 24/32 (75%) outings, a percentage success rate that would imply odds around 1/3.

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We can back Under 2.25 Goals at 8/11 with BetVictor in Brazil on Thursday – this means, should exactly two goals be scored we’ll enjoy a half-stakes win with one or zero goals returning a full-stakes profit. We won’t make money if three or more goals are scored.

Best Bets

Sao Paolo v Gremio – Under 2.25 Goals (8/11 BetVictor)

TOPICS International Football Tips Stats & Insights

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