Stats Value – Entertainment unlikely in Sunday’s Porto Alegre encounter

OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here’s Sunday’s value selections.

Gremio v Ceara | Sunday 23rd September 2018, 15:00

Gremio have seen 9/13 (69%) of their home league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 2.15 goals per-game.

Ceara have seen 10/12 (83%) of their away league games feature winning Under 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 1.50 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have seen an average of just 1.83 goals per-game in their respective home/away matches and paid out in the Under 2.5 Goals column in 19/25 (76%) outings, a percentage success rate that would imply odds around 1/3.

We can back Under 2.25 Goals at 7/10 with Marathon in Brazil on Sunday.

Hamarkameratene v Levanger | Sunday 23rd September 2018, 17:00

Hamarkameratene have seen 7/11 (64%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 2.91 goals per-game.

Levanger have seen 9/12 (75%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with matches averaging 3.58 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have seen an average of just 3.25 goals per-game in their respective home/away matches and paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 16/23 (70%) outings, a percentage success rate that would imply odds around 4/9.

We can back Over 2.5 Goals at 4/6 with Marathon in Norway on Sunday.

Best Bets

Gremio v Ceara – Under 2.25 Goals (7/10 Marathon)

Hamarkameratene v Levanger – Over 2.5 Goals (4/6 Marathon)

TOPICS European Football International Football Tips Stats & Insights