Stats Value – Derby date to produce plenty of goals

Flora Tallinn

OUR Stats Value column returns to WLB as we aim to pinpoint the best daily stats bets according to the data. Here’s Wednesday’s value selections.

Yokohama F-Marinos v Shimizu S-Pulse | Wednesday 29th August 2018, 11:30

Yokohama F-Marinos have seen 8/10 (80%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with 4/10 (40%) seeing Over 3.5 Goals.

Shimizu S-Pulse have seen 8/11 (73%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with 5/11 (45%) seeing Over 3.5 Goals.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 16/21 (76%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 1/3. Meanwhile, 9/21 (43%) of games saw Over 3.5 Goals pay-out.

Latest Podcast: Gambla Podcast 174 - WeLoveBetting Weekend Preview

We can back Over 2.75 Goals at 5/6 with Bet365 on Wednesday – this selection would see us make a half-stakes profit should exactly three goals be scored with a full winner paid out should four or more goals be scored.

Flora Tallinn v Levadia Tallinn | Wednesday 29th August 2018, 17:30

Flora Tallinn have seen 9/12 (75%) of their home league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with games averaging 3.58 goals per-game.

Levadia Tallinn have seen 8/11 (73%) of their away league games feature winning Over 2.5 Goals bets with with games averaging 3.55 goals per-game.

Collectively, these two clubs have paid out in the Over 2.5 Goals column in 17/23 (74%) of their respective home/away matches, a percentage success rate that would imply odds of just 4/11.

We can back Over 2.5 Goals at evens with BetStars on Wednesday.

Best Bets

Yokohama F-Marinos v Shimizu S-Pulse – Over 2.75 Goals (5/6 Bet365)

Flora Tallinn v Levadia Tallinn – Over 2.5 Goals (1/1 BetStars)

TOPICS European Football Stats & Insights

Betting Guides & Articles

...
Chelsea vs Luton | FA Cup Betting Preview & Tips
...
Bayern München vs Union Berlin Betting Preview & Tips
...
Manchester United vs Liverpool | FA Cup Betting Preview & Tips
...
Scottish Betting Preview & Tips: Steelmen could spring a surprise