MAN UTD host rivals Man City in Saturday’s Premier League highlight. Tom Love (@TomLove_18) shares his betting thoughts.
Manchester United vs Manchester City | Saturday 21st November 2020, 17:30 | Sky Sports
The game of the weekend comes at Old Trafford as Manchester United welcome the noisy neighbours across the City. The knives are back out for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer as United managed to blow a decent position in their Champions League group to end up third and dropping down to the Europa League. That being said, their Premier League form has been decent, especially on the road.
One of their bad habits is conceding in the opening stages and it will be interesting to see if Pep Guardiola sets Manchester City up to get right at United early doors, if they do though, they will be well aware of the threat United have on the break.
I do expect this to be a bit more tight and trappy than the market expects, it tends to be a low scoring derby this in the Pep era at least, goals haven’t been a feature in City away games or United home games so unders does appeal at the prices.
City have seen Under 2.5 in 7 of their last 8 and unders has landed in 5 of the last 6 head-to-heads, so the omens for a low scoring game are good. Add to that Man City and their 8 clean sheets in their last 10, and the last 3 United home league games have been low on goals too. It might take until the second half for this to open up and the fatigue factor to really tell for the hosts.
I’ll head to the Bet Builder though and take Under 4 Goals and each team to have Over 0 Cards at 5/6. I was inclined to take Under 3 Asian Goals but the price wasn’t as good as I was hoping for. Given the rivalry between the two and Chris Kavanagh having the whistle, it would be a shock to not see a card a piece.
I’ll also dip into the shot market as there’s an odds-against angle that looks nice. We all know how important full-backs are in the attacking side of the game these days, especially for the big teams, and Manchester City are no different. Joao Cancelo and Kyle Walker are trusted to joing attacks and regularly get into the final third. Walker is priced up at 21/20 to have a shot in this game and that looks a canny alternative angle.
The England international has found form once again after dropping off a bit last season, he’s a key facet of their system and he’s had a shot in 6 of his 9 league starts and also had an effort midweek against Marseille. Given that record I’m surprised he’s not odds-on.
Best Bets
Manchester United vs Manchester City – Under 4 Goals, Manchester United Over 0 Cards, Manchester City Over 0 Cards (5/6 Bet365)
Manchester United vs Manchester City – Kyle Walker 1+ shot (21/20 Coral)
