Football League: Three goal-filled EFL games to follow

FOOTBALL LEAGUE expert Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) has made us a mint in the EFL this season. Here’s his three to follow from a depleted weekend card.

Season Update

With a massively depleted Football League coupon, finding real value has been a bit of a task this weekend – blame the FA Cup.

So for one week only, I thought I’d chance my arm at three Both Teams To Score selections – they make-up a 4/1 treble.

Meanwhile, I’m regularly hounded on Twitter for P&L and ROI figures and whilst we aim to keep WeLoveBetting fun, informative and engaging, I thought I’d share my mid-term results from the Football League with you here.

My Saturday EFL columns have returned an overall +11.38 profit thus far and a 13% ROI. Seventeen (71%) of the 24 columns have made money with six (25%) bagging full houses – only two (8%) have failed to land at least one winner.

I’m pretty pleased with those figures and I hope you are too. Here’s hoping the good form continues in 2017…

Bristol Rovers v Northampton | Saturday 15:00

Bristol Rovers

• Bristol Rovers have W4-D1-L6 since the end of October, scoring in 8/11 and keeping only 2/11 clean sheets.
• Bristol Rovers have W7-D3-L3 at home this season, scoring in 12/13 but keeping only 2/13 clean sheets.
• Bristol Rovers have seen 23/25 league games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 17/25 league games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 19/25 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Bristol Rovers have seen 12/13 home games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 10/13 home games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 11/13 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Bristol Rovers have scored in 20/25 league games and kept only 3/25 clean sheets.
• Bristol Rovers have scored 2+ goals in 8/13 at home but also conceded 2+ goals in 5/13 at home – only Rochdale and Scunthorpe have scored more home goals.
• Bristol Rovers have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 6/8 home matches against bottom-half teams – 4 of those games featured Over 3.5 Goals.
• Bristol Rovers’ matches are averaging 3.36 goals per-game, and 3.31 goals per-game at home this season.
• Bristol Rovers’ total expected goals across their 25 matches sits at 3.11 per-game.
• Bristol Rovers have centre-back Ryan Hartley injured.
• With Both Teams To Score winning in 19/26 (74%) collective home/away games the implied odds of a repeat are about the 4/11 mark.

Northampton

• Northampton have W4-D1-L10 since September, scoring in 10/15 and keeping only 1/15 clean sheets.
• Northampton have W4-D4-L5 away this season, scoring in 9/13 but keeping only 2/13 clean sheets.
• Northampton have seen 18/25 league games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 13/25 league games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 15/25 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Northampton have seen 9/13 away games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 6/13 away games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 8/13 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Northampton have scored in 18/25 league games and kept only 5/25 clean sheets.
• Northampton’s matches are averaging 2.84 goals per-game, and 2.62 goals per-game away this season.
• Northampton’s total expected goals across their 25 matches sits at 2.84 per-game.
• Only Shrewsbury and Chesterfield are conceding more shots per-game than Northampton.
• With Both Teams To Score winning in 19/26 (74%) collective home/away games the implied odds of a repeat are about the 4/11 mark.

Back Both Teams To Score (4/6 Bet365)

Southend v Sheffield United | Saturday 15:00

Southend

• Southend have W8-D7-L1 since the end of September, scoring in 13/16.
• Southend have W6-D5-L2 at home this season, scoring in 12/13 but keeping only 3/13 clean sheets.
• Southend have seen 22/25 league games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 12/25 league games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 12/25 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Southend have seen 12/13 home games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 6/13 home games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 9/13 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Southend have scored in 18/25 league games and kept only 8/25 clean sheets.
• Southend’s matches are averaging 2.56 goals per-game, and 2.62 goals per-game at home this season.
• Southend’s total expected goals across their 25 matches sits at 2.96 per-game.
• With Both Teams To Score winning in 19/25 (76%) collective home/away games the implied odds of a repeat are about the 1/3 mark.

Sheffield United

• Sheffield United have W16-D4-L1 since the end of August, scoring in 20/21.
• Sheffield United have W6-D4-L2 away this season, scoring in 11/12 but keeping only 1/12 clean sheets.
• Sheffield United have seen 19/25 league games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 15/25 league games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 14/25 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Sheffield United have seen 11/12 away games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 9/12 away games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 10/12 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Sheffield United have scored in 22/25 league games and kept only 8/25 clean sheets.
• Sheffield United have scored 2+ goals in 8/12 away but also conceded 2+ goals in 4/12 away this season.
• Sheffield United’s matches are averaging 2.80 goals per-game, and 3.41 goals per-game away this season.
• Sheffield United’s total expected goals across their 25 matches sits at 2.66 per-game.
• Only Oxford are averaging more shots per-game than Sheffield United this season.
• With Both Teams To Score winning in 19/25 (76%) collective home/away games the implied odds of a repeat are about the 1/3 mark.

Back Both Teams To Score (10/11 Bet365)

Colchester v Carlisle | Saturday 15:00

Colchester

• Colchester have W6-D1-L0 since switching to a 3-5-2 formation in mid-November, scoring in 6/7.
• Colchester have W6-D2-L3 at home this season, scoring in 9/11 and keeping 4/11 clean sheets.
• Colchester have seen 20/24 league games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 12/24 league games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 12/24 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Colchester have seen 10/11 home games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 8/11 home games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 6/11 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Colchester have scored in 18/24 league games and kept 8/24 clean sheets. Colchester have scored 2+ goals in 8/11 at home but also conceded 2+ goals in 6/11 at home.
• Colchester’s matches are averaging 2.71 goals per-game, and 3.27 goals per-game at home this season.
• Colchester’s total expected goals across their 25 matches sits at 2.53 per-game.
• With Both Teams To Score winning in 15/23 (65%) collective home/away games the implied odds of a repeat are about the 8/15 mark.

Carlisle

• Carlisle have W12-D10-L2 this season, scoring in 23/24 but haven’t kept a clean sheet in 12 games.
• Carlisle have W4-D7-L1 away this season, scoring in 11/12 but keeping only 2/12 clean sheets.
• Carlisle have seen 21/24 league games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 14/24 league games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 18/24 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Carlisle have seen 11/12 away games feature Over 1.5 Goals, 7/12 away games produce Over 2.5 Goals and 9/12 bank for Both Teams To Score backers.
• Carlisle have scored in 23/24 league games and kept only 5/24 clean sheets.
• Carlisle have scored 2+ goals in 7/12 away but also conceded 2+ goals in 6/12 away this season.
• Carlisle’s matches are averaging 3.17 goals per-game, and 3.00 goals per-game away this season.
• Carlisle’s total expected goals across their 25 matches sits at 3.23 per-game.
• Only Morecambe are facing more shots away from home per-game than Carlisle.
• With Both Teams To Score winning in 15/23 (65%) collective home/away games the implied odds of a repeat are about the 8/15 mark.

Back Both Teams To Score (10/11 Bet365)

Best Bets

Bristol Rovers v Northampton – Both Teams To Score (4/6 Bet365)

Southend v Sheffield United – Both Teams To Score (10/11 Bet365)

Colchester v Carlisle – Both Teams To Score (8/13 188BET)

Want TWO Free Bets And £10 Cash?

Are you yet to sign-up for a betting account at Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor? If so, now is your time as we’ve a bucket load of free bets to giveaway to new customers.

Sign-up to Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor via any of the links on this page, deposit and place your first bet and drop us a line at hello@welovebetting.co.uk.

We’ll then arrange for TWO free bets to be dropped into your betting accounts and we’ll also cover your first bet with instant cash up to £10.

Remember folks, if you ever want to join a new bookmaker give us a shout – no other site will give you extra bonuses such as free bets and instant cash like WLB!

How To Claim Your Free Bet And Instant Cash:

1. Register for a new account at Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor via any of the links on this page. If you don’t use a link from WLB, you won’t be valid.
2. Deposit and place your first bet (minimum £10).
3. Email hello@welovebetting.co.uk to let us know your account username, the bet you placed and the bookmaker you’ve joined.
4. We’ll arrange for TWO £10 free bets to be dropped into your betting accounts as well as £10 instant cash to cover your first bet.
5. Remember, you’ll also be entitled to the new customer bonus or promotion with each of Ladbrokes, Marathon, Bet365, 888 or BetVictor too. However, if you don’t join via the links on this page, you won’t be valid for our free bet and instant cash giveaway.
6. Free bet crediting can take up to 28 days.
7. Any questions? Just drop us an email or tweet us at @WeLoveBettingUK.

TOPICS Football League Tips