European NAP: A ripper from Serie A on Saturday

EUROPEAN football fanatic Mark O’Haire (@MarkOHaire) is looking to continue his hot European NAP streak with a selection from Saturday’s Serie A action.

Napoli v Bologna | Saturday 29th December 2018, 17:00 | Eleven Sports

Again, apologies for the note form of this weekend’s European NAP. Time has run away with me but I think I’ve unearthed a ripper from Serie A.

I’m delving into Bet365’s Bet Builder for the clash between high-flying Napoli and struggling Bologna and opting to take a home win, plus Bologna to score Under 2 Goals and Bologna to receive Over 1 Card for a 4/5 shot.

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Napoli have W7-D2-L0 at home this season by an aggregate 20-4, recording six clean sheets and only once conceding more than a solitary strike (back in September).
Excluding the top-five, Napoli have W12-D2-L0 in Serie A this season.
Since 2015/16, Napoli have won 50/66 (76%) home league games and W32-D4-L0 against the bottom-half at home.
Napoli are giving up just 0.47 xG from open play per-game this season and conceding only 5.61 shots in the box on average.
Napoli’s visitors have been carded at least twice in all nine of their home games.
Bologna have lost 9/18 (50%) games this season, failing to score in 10 and notching more than once in only five fixtures.
Bologna have lost all four games against the top-five by an aggregate 11-1 and lost 17 of their past 29 away games in Serie A.
Bologna have conceded at least twice in six of their nine away games, and operating off just a 35% xG open play ratio, recording just 0.48 xG from open play.
Bologna have been carded at least twice in 15 of their 18 encounters, including eight of their nine road trips. They average 2.82 cards per-game.