Darts: Best bets from Week 12 of the Premier League

DARTS expert expert Kyle Brown (@Kyleianbrown) talks us through the 12th week of Premier League action, picking out his favourite fancies.

Week 12 – Thursday 25th April 2019 | Birmingham

  • Mensur Suljovic (6/4 Coral) v Michael Smith (13/10 Boylesports)
  • Rob Cross (10/11 Betway) v Gerwyn Price (9/4 Betway)
  • Daryl Gurney (5/4 Betfair) v Peter Wright (13/8 Betway)
  • James Wade (9/2 SkyBet) v Michael van Gerwen (4/9 Coral)

*Predicted winners in bold, neither indicates draw.

The Week 12 Betting Angles

Birmingham kicks off with Mensur Suljovic looking to move back into the play-off spots, taking on bottom dweller Michael Smith – a sentence I did not anticipate writing at the start of the season.

While it is mathematically possible for Smith to still make the final four, it would take nothing short of a miracle, and he’ll have his work cut out against the Austrian, who keeps finding ways to win matches when perhaps the stats suggest he shouldn’t – only Michael van Gerwen  and Rob Cross have won more games this campaign (eight).

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Smith comes into the match as favourite, which may seem harsh on Suljovic, so it hints at some value to back the (apparent) upset. Suljovic is 6/4 best price, at Coral.

Elsewhere, a price simply too good to turn down can be found in Sky’s Request-a-Bet Specials – the match to feature 2 or more 100+ checkouts is at 8/11.

While it wont win you a fortune, it’s as close to a banker as you’ll find this week. Suljovic isn’t known for his roof-raising finishes, but he is more than capable of hitting at least one or two 100+ a session. Smith hit a 170 last week and averages a high checkout of 101.75 through 12 weeks of playing.

Over 14 legs I could see four, possibly five checkouts hitting three-figures.

MvG looks unbeatable

Van Gerwen dispatched table-topper Rob Cross with ease in Cardiff last week, and now finds himself back where he’ll say he belongs – first. He’s now won 14 of his last 16 games and won the German Darts Gran Prix over the weekend. He is in red-hot form and Wade will do well to stop him.

I see nothing other than a win for the Dutchman – meaning no disrespect to James Wade – and at 4/9 on Coral, MvG is a nice price to add to an accumulator.

You can also get him at a 9/4 Price Boost on Sky Bet to hit the match treble, a price too good for me to turn down. Van Gerwen has hit more 180’s than his opponents during six of the 12 matches this year and hit a higher checkout in seven of those 12.

Those stats may not seem fantastic, but it does include his mid-season blip (blip by his standards, anyway) but there is nothing to suggest he will be short of his best tomorrow in Birmingham.

Best Bets

Mensur Suljovic v Michael Smith – Mensur Suljovic to win (6/4 Coral)

Mensur Suljovic v Michael Smith – Match to feature 2 or more 100+ checkouts (8/11 SkyBet)

James Wade v Michael van Gerwen – Michale van Gerwen match treble (9/4 SkyBet)

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