Correct Score – Back Toon to take down wilting Cherries

Newcastle promoted

OUR Correct Score man Daniel McCulloch (@danmcc84) delivers his best Saturday bets.

Newcastle v Bournemouth | Saturday 4th November 2017, 15:00

In all honesty, I could have picked an Under 2.5 Goals correct score in any of Saturday afternoon’s kick-offs. However, I believe this one offers the most value as it features Newcastle, a side who I rate reasonably highly and Bournemouth, a side whom I don’t.

After losing to Tottenham on the opening weekend of the Premier League season, Newcastle have gained 1- points from their next four home games, suggesting that St James’ Park is becoming the fortress it needs to be if they are to enjoy a comfortable return to the Premier League.

At present they sit in ninth, 10 places and seven points better off than this weekend’s opponents Bournemouth.

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Cherries wilting

Eddie Howe’s side have just two wins to their name this season and I struggle to foresee a third here. They may have beaten Stoke in their last away game but that was a rather fortuitous victory.

Their first goal came from 25 yards and their second was a penalty. Stoke then dominated the game and should have had at least one spot kick themselves. That victory is clearly factored into the price here as I am surprised to see odds against quotes available for a home win.

The betting angles

Newcastle average just a-goal-a-game this season and Bournemouth just 0.60 goals per-game and given that both have reasonable defences, I cannot see many goals.

The Tyneside outfit have two 1-0 victories to their name so far this term whilst their Dorset opponents have lost by this scoreline on three occasions. I therefore believe that the 13/2 Bet365 are offering on a 1-0 home win offers good value and it is a result I expect to see a lot of whilst Rafa Benitez remains at the helm.

I cannot see Bournemouth scoring but given that 2-0 is available at 9/1 with BetStars, I will take that reasonably priced saver.

Best Bets

Newcastle v Bournemouth – Newcastle 1-0 Bournemouth (13/2 Bet365)

Newcastle v Bournemouth – Newcastle 2-0 Bournemouth (9/1 BetStars)

TOPICS English Football Tips Football Premier League Tips

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