GAVIN Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) returns with a bookings view on the Tuesday’s Man City v Real Madrid match.
Manchester City v Real Madrid | Tuesday 19:45 | BT Sport Europe
Manchester City get their chance to mix it with the big boys in their Champions League semi final first leg against Real Madrid. Turkish insurance agent Cuneyt Cakir gets the whistle for this one and his career games officiating both teams show a clear disparity.
In eight games covering the Spanish giants he has shown them just eight yellows at an average of 1.6 per game. However, in two games covering City he has waved 11 yellows and a red card at an average of 6.5 per match!
It has long been suggested that this referee dislikes English teams. This stat would support that accusation. Back Manchester City to get the most cards on Bet365’s ‘handicap Asian line’ at 2.025. If it’s a tie you’ll get your money back.
I’ve been looking at the past six semi final first leg encounters and it shows an interesting pattern. The first half had two or less cards in 6/6 matches. That’s 7/10 to happen again here which is a bit skinny.
However, over 3 second half cards won in 5/6 matches with the exception being when the abysmal Howard Webb gave just one yellow a few years ago in the match between Real Madrid and Bayern Munich. Back over 3 second half cards at 19/10 with William Hill.
Best Bets
Manchester City v Real Madrid – Man City to receive the most cards Handicap Asian Line (2.025 Bet365)
Manchester City v Real Madrid – Over 3 Second Half Cards (19/10 William Hill)
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