KING OF THE CARDS Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) ventures back to La Liga for two cards-based bets from Sunday’s action.
Las Palmas v Atletico Madrid | Sunday 17.15 | Sky Sports 4
Iniaki Garrido gets the whistle for this one and he hates dishing out the cards.
Garrido is the most lenient referee in La Liga, averaging 4.3 cards-per-game – that’s very, very low by Spanish standards.
This week Atletico Madrid travel to the Canary Islands to take on Las Palmas. Atleti average 2.68 cards-per-game with the hosts’ average standing bang on 3.00 – that implies a prospect of 5.68 cards would be the norm when they meet.
However, this official usually keeps his cards close to his chest.
I investigated Garrido’s performance when officiating these two teams. On average, he gives Las Palmas 2.00 cards-per-game and just 0.80 to Atletico Madrid – so that suggests a far lower total of 2.80 cards will be handed out.
Bet365 go 8/13 on Under 5.5 Cards. However, Under 45 Bookings Points is offered at 15/8 by William Hill and that looks great value for small stakes.
If you’re knew to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives 2 yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 points.
Getafe v Espanyol | Sunday 17.15 | Sky Sports Interactive
At the same time as the Las Palmas v Atletico Madrid match, Espanyol travel to the capital to battle Getafe.
This brings together two of the top-three dirtiest teams in Spain and one of my favourite referees, Senor Moonpig (Ignacio Villanueva).
He averages 7.18 cards-per-game. After a quiet few weeks he was back to his best last weekend issuing nine cautions in the game between Las Palmas and Malaga.
This term, Getafe average 3.58 cards-per-game and Espanyol 3.78 cards-per-game – that implies a total cards figure of 7.37 could be anticipated.
I’ve targeted this match and am backing Over 6.5 cards at 4/5 with Bet365.
Best Bets
Las Palmas v Atletico Madrid – Under 45 Bookings Points (15/8 William Hill)
Getafe v Espanyol – Over 6.5 Cards (4/5 Bet365)
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