CARD KING Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) returns with a bookings bet from the Monday night La Liga contest between Eibar and Granada.
Eibar v Granada | Monday 19.30 | Sky Sports 2
Relegation-threatened Granada travel to Europa League-chasing Eibar in an intriguing Monday night La Liga match-up.
Both teams average 3.58 cards-per-game and are among the top–four most ill-disciplined clubs in Spain’s top-flight. Their combined stats imply that a total of 7.18 cards would be the norm when they lock horns.
The whisteblower in this one is Jose Sanchez Martinez. He is a young referee – 32 years-old-old – and I’ve seen plenty of games where he likes to get his cards out.
Overall he averages 6.67 cards-per-game. However, three of his games this season have involved Barcelona or Real Madrid. Typically, in these matches less cards are given as they blow teams away. Consequently, his average has reduced in recent weeks.
If we look at the games that didn’t involve the big-two, his card totals read 9-7-10-8-14 at an average of 9.6 cards-per-game. Broadly, that suggests he gives three extra cards per-game in low profile matches.
It’s no surprise that Bet365 have moved their line up to 7.5 cards. However, we can still back Over 65 Bookings Points with William Hill at 3/4, and that’s my recommendation.
If you’re new to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives 2 yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 booking points.
Best Bets
Eibar v Granada – Over 65 Bookings Points (3/4 William Hill)
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