KING of the cards Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) highlights three La Liga games for the bookings treatment on Saturday.
Barcelona v Granada | Saturday 15.00
Granada have the ominous task of trying to halt the Catalan giants in the Camp No – no mean task given that Barca stuck four past local rivals Espanyol in midweek in a fiery affair which saw 15 cards.
I expect this to be a far quieter occasion. The hosts are 1/50 to win and of course you’d assume they’ll have far too much firepower for Granada to handle.
Accordingly, I am shocked to see Bet365 chalking this up at 6.5 cards. Barcelona average only 1.71 cards-per-game and the visitors figure stands at 3.56 cards-per-game – that implies 5.27 cards might be dished out.
If the match goes as I anticipate, I think there will only be around three or four cards given, assuming a regulation home victory. A Saturday afternoon kick-off should also aid a low-key atmosphere.
Carlos Velasco Carballo is the man in charge. He averages 6.56 cards-per-game but has plenty of quiet games too. I very rarely go Under in Spain but this looks an overreaction to the Espanyol game.
I’m backing Under 6.5 Cards on Bet365’s Asian line at 1.70.
Getafe v Real Betis | Saturday 17.15 | Sky Sports 2
Alfonso Izquierdo (Senor Confetti) is back for this one and I expect him to resume normal service with plenty of cards.
Getafe are always good for a bookings bet, averaging 3.53 per-game. Betis average 3.56 cards-per-game so 7.09 could be expected here.
This match could be well curtains for Betis boss Pepe Mel if the visitors fail to produce the goods, adding to a tense atmosphere in the capital.
Senor Confetti averages 7.22 cards per-game, even after a few quiet weeks.
So I’m getting involved with Over 65 Bookings Points at 7/10 with William Hill.
If you’re new to Bookings Points – a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives two yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 points.
Levante v Rayo Vallecano | Sunday 21.05 | Sky Sports Interactive
An evening encounter between these two relegation-threatened teams looms in Valencia.
Hosts Levante average 4.00 cards-per-game and the visitors from Seville typically collect 3.77 cards-per-game. That implies 7.77 cards might be expected in this battle.
The whisteblower is Mario Lopez. He gives 83% of his cards in the second-half so keep an eye on the half-time in-play offers.
In total he averages a league-high 7.67 cards-per-game and he will be under severe pressure in this game, given the importance to both sides.
I think Lopez will wilt and accordingly, I’m getting stuck into Over 65 Bookings Points at 10/11 with William Hill.
If you’re new to Bookings Points – a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives two yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 points.
Best Bets
Barcelona v Granada – Under 6.5 Cards (1.70 Bet365)
Getafe v Real Betis – Over 65 Bookings Points (7/10 William Hill)
Levante v Rayo Vallecano – Over 65 Bookings Points (10/11 William Hill)
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