CARD KING Gavin Murphy (@GamePlanGavin) is back in business with three to follow from Tuesday night’s Football League coupon.
Rochdale v Crewe | Tuesday 19.45
Who remembers the referee from the Johnstone Paint Trophy match recently between Fleetwood and Barnsley? No one?
Well let me remind you – his name was Eddie Ilderton and he had his cards sewn to his shirt. He’s back on Tuesday night to take charge of Crewe’s trip to Spotland to face Rochdale.
Crewe average a league-low 0.9 cards-per-game. Hosts Dale average 2.00 cards-per-game.
With ‘Steady Eddie’ in charge, I was sorely tempted to recommend No Card at 6/1. However, after doing us in the Johnstone Paint match he will probably be a twat tonight so I’m recommending a more cautious play of Under 25 Bookings Points with William Hill at 4/5.
If you’re new to Bookings Points, a yellow card earns 10 points and a red card earns 25 points. If a player receives 2 yellow cards and is consequently shown a red card, he receives a total of 35 booking points.
Millwall v Scunthorpe | Tuesday 19.45
Pure value play here.
The hosts average 2.20 cards-per-game and Scunthorpe average 1.75 cards-per-game – that implies 3.95 cards might be expected when they lock horns.
The whisteblower here is Nick Kinseley. He averages 3.39 cards-per-game.
Between 4-6 Cards is the play as it would have won in 8/18 matches with this official.
So I’m backing 4-6 total match cards with William Hill at 19/10.
Hartlepool v Notts County | Tuesday 19.45
Another value opportunity here as Notts County travel north to Victoria Park.
The hosts average 1.78 cards-per-game and the visitors 2.21 cards-per-game – that implies 3.99 cards might be expected.
David Webb is the man in charge and he averages 3.36 cards-per-game. He rarely gives fewer than 3 cards-per-game.
This ref has given between 4-6 cards in 11/25 matches so far this season. Once again, I like the look of Between 4-6 cards with William Hill at a juicy 21/10.
Best Bets
Rochdale v Crewe – Under 25 Bookings Points (4/5 William Hill)
Millwall v Scunthorpe – Between 4-6 Cards (19/10 William Hill)
Hartlepool v Notts County – Between 4-6 Cards (21/10 William Hill)
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